What will the 2012 world financial markets? Will the European debt crisis deepens? What is the most

What will the 2012 world financial markets? Will the European debt crisis deepens? What is the most problematic topic of global markets for the 2012th year? Will China's real estate bubble is a brake on growth across Asia?
In 2011. At the beginning of the global economy in quite a mood of calm and optimism is high in markets. But the markets are very suitable husband Wayne Gretzky hockey saying goes, when he moved his success: "I skate where the puck is going in there, the majority of skating to where the puck is." The markets tend to overemphasise the importance of the view out the window now transparent, and often do not know how to take into account the potential for further dünaamikatega.
Therefore, despite the overall positive mood also wrote much of the risks - "2011 - Ten significant risk." In the second half, and many of these risks in the markets, led recession - Termination of U.S. money printing in June reduced the supporting role of the European dutch tulip bubble debt crisis tweaking to major tensions.
The mood is definitely nervous today than a year ago, but again - not to be the basis for today's mood, but rather to predict what might be the future events. Vaatamegi 2012th In a possible progression through the ten-question answer. Looking more broadly, it seems to me that the risk mapping of the time we start to move while mapping options.
The above-mentioned "puck" is now clearly dutch tulip bubble the goal for the majority of analysts, Europe in the world economy in the coming years, the biggest problem. True, the situation is complicated, and a final settlement in Europe dutch tulip bubble is still a long way to go. But I think 2012. At the end of the year we look back, it was not the European dutch tulip bubble debt crisis is the biggest problem. Competitors leader is China and the United States.
I looked at various analysts' views on China recently. Many expect continued economic growth projection dutch tulip bubble to 8% of the 2012th year. And on the negative scenario, dutch tulip bubble ca. 7% growth. That last one is somewhat incomprehensible to me, as if the real estate crisis in China will take serious turns, you have a much higher risk of cooling down. I see a risk that growth may even sink to zero.
It is precisely because of the real estate market - 2008 during the rest of the world financial crisis slowed dutch tulip bubble lending, increased pressure from the Chinese state - thereby supporting the economy, but along with it was the real estate bubble. In Western countries, the rule that the home could pay for one square dutch tulip bubble meter of real estate monthly - in the ratio of 2.5:1 balloon went on, China was in the ratio of 7:1, and in the summer it's more - the real estate became too expensive for ordinary people, and the correction was only a matter of time. 2011 the second half of the real estate bubble bursting has led signs, and I think this trend of 2012 continues - and how long the property has been trending in turn, they are difficult to stop. And obviously we know well enough what the second round of the negative effects of the real estate price drop brings. This, in turn, puts a strong brake as China itself as well as other countries in the Asian economies.
Do you remember 2007. were told that the U.S. real estate market is cooling down and the limited impact outside of the U.S. can not reach? Similar dutch tulip bubble comments are also currently in China, is to find a few analysts who see China increased risk. However, when considering the total in Asia is China (and Australia), then you will definitely cool down the real estate market dutch tulip bubble in China is influencing the entire region. It is worthwhile to bear in mind in India, there is a noticeable cooling of the risk.
True, the Chinese government has an exceptionally large reserves, and they are also increasingly likely to be used to support the real estate market. But in terms of real estate in China is similar to Estonia in 2007 - no one believed that the property could also fall, and now when the recession is nearing the hands, it's a shock for many. Thus, if there is a change in people's minds is very difficult to walk the property again to get the train. So it is here, in my view, despite the likelihood of state support, China's large-scale decline in real estate prices. Along with this goes the world's attention to the 2012th in Asia after China and probably more.
As stated above, I think the 2012th Markets in the spotlight is no longer the only, the new items will come apart. dutch tulip bubble However, the situation remains difficult, and simple dutch tulip bubble solutions are not (longer write to the European debt crisis stories series). Most likely, we also see that Italy and Spain are forced to IMF / EU loan package through to ask for help. And in my opinion, is the probability of over 50% that Greece is no longer a member dutch tulip bubble of the euro zone after three years. Thus, in 2012 and 2013 will be difficult years for Europe. dutch tulip bubble 2012 Economic growth in the euro area is likely to be in negative territory. Extensive pruning, improving the balance sheets of banks and bring it to the tense environment. But püsin continues to believe dutch tulip bubble that the core of the euro zone stays together, and with it, the euro is not going anywhere.
But the problem with all this is one big but. All of this also means that countries are finally beginning to deal with the treatment. If not yet attempted to deal with more kummivenitamisega - revenue fell, but the cost