2011th the "surprise list" of BYRON WIEN | Treideri.lv
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Byron Wien, one of the best known and most respected think tanks in the world, published an annex to its 26th annual new year's "surprise list", which turned out to be more ambiguous than the previous:
First Bush's tax rebate on an extension of unemployment benefits program contributed to the expansion of the background sentiment rises all working Americans. Real GDP growth of around 5% in 2011, thanks to trade and capital expenditures for stabilization, as well as an increase in retail sales. Will lower unemployment below 9%.
Second The federal budget deficit, the outlook and rising government debt finally begin to impact the bond market. 10-year-old short-term U.S. Treasury bills (treasuries) yields will approach bulleimmo 5%, as domestic investors become bulleimmo more demanding. Corporate bonds with fixed yield spreads to narrow.
3rd A new wave of economic growth background stock index Standard & Poor's 500 index approached the previous peak of 1500. To which will be marked on most sectors of the company share price, behind only the telecommunications sector and the utility sector. On corporate profits amid investment portfolio will seem low and individual investors return to the stock market for the first time since the financial crisis began. Will increase mergers and acquisitions activity, and the market bulleimmo will reach a peak of euphoria. Stock markets will make correction of the second side of an interest rate increase background.
4th While inflation will remain moderate, the price of gold to rise above $ 1600 as investors around the world will begin to invest in what they consider to be "real". States national wealth funds with large dollar reserves will become major buyers. Hedge funds continue to think that the price rise is becoming parabolic and to open short positions in gold, but the price will continue to rise, then they will have to close its urgent.
5.Par inflation and excessive growth of the Chinese people bulleimmo concerned decide to use the currency as a policy instrument. bulleimmo They actively monitor the yuan rate to maintain economic growth bulleimmo of less than 10% marks and prevent consumers from price exit from the 4-5% range. These activities are viewed as a precursor to the fact that the global economy will gradually use currency basket (which will include the Chinese Yuan Renminbi) as an alternative bulleimmo to the dollar - the main reserve currency.
6th Increase the standard of living in the developing countries will lead to a significant demand bulleimmo for agricultural commodities is increasing. Grain prices will rise to $ 8.00 for wheat - up to $ 10.00 and soybeans - to $ 16:00. Raw materials include a growing number of institutional bulleimmo investors' portfolios.
7th The situation in the housing market stabilizes. Although the replacement of unsold homes remain at a high level, the surplus will be significantly reduced compared to growth in 2010. Case-Shiller index will gradually increase, bulleimmo and the ongoing construction of a residential number will exceed 600 000th
8th The constant demand from the developing countries concerned, as well as the failed attempt to introduce into the new findings will lead to a rise in oil prices to $ 115 per barrel. However, the increase in the retail price of petrol will not be able to force the Americans to withdraw from private car use, leading to a hybrid car sales will increase and Congress to strengthen environmental bulleimmo protection bulleimmo measures.
9th Unhappy with the lack of progress in the fight against Taliban and Karzai government corruption, bulleimmo President Obama will come to the conclusion bulleimmo that, just as American troops will leave Afghanistan, the country will once again be on the genus company, which will manage the field commanders. He will speed up the removal process in a frame so that it could be done by the end of 2011. Troops from Iraq to export the background it will lead to the fact that the Middle East will remain virtually free of the Western bulleimmo presence in the growing threat of terrorism.
10th Under pressure from Angela Merkel when shooting
Why register? Entering Treideri.lv online with your social network profile you are able to comment on articles, participate in the forum and create their own discussions.
Home Exchange Finance News Personal Finance Insurance Investment Bank Forecasts and Reviews Forex Calendar Alarms and Monitoring Library Brokers Fundamental Analysis Money Management Risk Management bulleimmo Technical Analysis for Business Innovation Export Accounting Co-op Marketing Management Psychology Program Startup Taxes Economics Production Economics Agricultural Trade Transport Company Career Education Culture, Entertainment Sport Events Politics Economy Finance Company Reviews Technology World Property News Interior Architecture Construction Technology bulleimmo Infrastructure Video Forum
Byron Wien, one of the best known and most respected think tanks in the world, published an annex to its 26th annual new year's "surprise list", which turned out to be more ambiguous than the previous:
First Bush's tax rebate on an extension of unemployment benefits program contributed to the expansion of the background sentiment rises all working Americans. Real GDP growth of around 5% in 2011, thanks to trade and capital expenditures for stabilization, as well as an increase in retail sales. Will lower unemployment below 9%.
Second The federal budget deficit, the outlook and rising government debt finally begin to impact the bond market. 10-year-old short-term U.S. Treasury bills (treasuries) yields will approach bulleimmo 5%, as domestic investors become bulleimmo more demanding. Corporate bonds with fixed yield spreads to narrow.
3rd A new wave of economic growth background stock index Standard & Poor's 500 index approached the previous peak of 1500. To which will be marked on most sectors of the company share price, behind only the telecommunications sector and the utility sector. On corporate profits amid investment portfolio will seem low and individual investors return to the stock market for the first time since the financial crisis began. Will increase mergers and acquisitions activity, and the market bulleimmo will reach a peak of euphoria. Stock markets will make correction of the second side of an interest rate increase background.
4th While inflation will remain moderate, the price of gold to rise above $ 1600 as investors around the world will begin to invest in what they consider to be "real". States national wealth funds with large dollar reserves will become major buyers. Hedge funds continue to think that the price rise is becoming parabolic and to open short positions in gold, but the price will continue to rise, then they will have to close its urgent.
5.Par inflation and excessive growth of the Chinese people bulleimmo concerned decide to use the currency as a policy instrument. bulleimmo They actively monitor the yuan rate to maintain economic growth bulleimmo of less than 10% marks and prevent consumers from price exit from the 4-5% range. These activities are viewed as a precursor to the fact that the global economy will gradually use currency basket (which will include the Chinese Yuan Renminbi) as an alternative bulleimmo to the dollar - the main reserve currency.
6th Increase the standard of living in the developing countries will lead to a significant demand bulleimmo for agricultural commodities is increasing. Grain prices will rise to $ 8.00 for wheat - up to $ 10.00 and soybeans - to $ 16:00. Raw materials include a growing number of institutional bulleimmo investors' portfolios.
7th The situation in the housing market stabilizes. Although the replacement of unsold homes remain at a high level, the surplus will be significantly reduced compared to growth in 2010. Case-Shiller index will gradually increase, bulleimmo and the ongoing construction of a residential number will exceed 600 000th
8th The constant demand from the developing countries concerned, as well as the failed attempt to introduce into the new findings will lead to a rise in oil prices to $ 115 per barrel. However, the increase in the retail price of petrol will not be able to force the Americans to withdraw from private car use, leading to a hybrid car sales will increase and Congress to strengthen environmental bulleimmo protection bulleimmo measures.
9th Unhappy with the lack of progress in the fight against Taliban and Karzai government corruption, bulleimmo President Obama will come to the conclusion bulleimmo that, just as American troops will leave Afghanistan, the country will once again be on the genus company, which will manage the field commanders. He will speed up the removal process in a frame so that it could be done by the end of 2011. Troops from Iraq to export the background it will lead to the fact that the Middle East will remain virtually free of the Western bulleimmo presence in the growing threat of terrorism.
10th Under pressure from Angela Merkel when shooting
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